Are central banks transforming from hawks into doves?

3 February 2023

The week has been like the other four weeks of 2023: dominated by central bank action, inflation, and despondency over the UK economy. Meanwhile, stock and bond markets stayed buoyant. The monthly US jobs report could have upended...

Goldilocks in the air

30 January 2023

Recent macroeconomic data releases across the western world report declining rates of inflation and no longer overheating (but nevertheless still positive) economic growth. In the US, the important milestone of the rate of personal...

Slowing growth throws markets into a bind

20 January 2023

Last week we wrote that markets were rising because bad economic news was good news in terms of lessening concerns over interest rate rises beyond what is already expected and therefore priced in. This week, various economic data...

Football fever saves UK from recession

13 January 2023

The new year is proving to be a happy one for almost all asset classes and regions. The FTSE 100’s intraday all-time high of 7903.50 is less than 100 points away at the time of writing, and we’re closer than we were last week....

January surprises

6 January 2023

“Welcome to 2023” said the note on the restaurant door. The door was shut, the lights were off, and another note explained that rail strikes meant staff and customers were unable get there. All the venues in this City-of-London...

End of year wrap up

19 December 2022

We saw broad and deep losses across asset classes in 2022, as investors feared slowing global growth and priced in sharply tighter monetary policy. Sky-high inflation forced interest rate hikes at the quickest pace in a generation,...

Central banks act as scrooges

16 December 2022

Inevitably, much of what we write depends on the starting point, given that this has been an exceptionally volatile year, we opted to leave our prognostications as late as possible. This seemed a prudent stance, given the past...

Fed up before Christmas

9 December 2022

One of the first principles of any sound investment process is to permit and nurture the discourse of differing opinions in order to generate the most robust insights and decisions possible. Unsurprisingly then, here at Tatton,...

Not so bad? Almost good

2 December 2022

December has begun on a positive footing for investors. A renewed pivot in sentiment, with market participants choosing to focus on the positives rather than the negatives, has brought the third extended market upswing of 2022,...

Markets give thanks

25 November 2022

The last week of November is generally a quiet one for markets. Many professional investors head back to family homes in the days before Thanksgiving, and will have already closed down their risk positions for the year. Few like...