Category: Investment Outlook
Linchpin oil price
17 June 2022As central banks around the world were busy reasserting their authority and credibility as the guardians of monetary stability, last week’s stock market wobble turned into a fully-fledged rout this week. The growth concerns...
Rollercoaster for the Jubilee funfair
1 June 2022Party stalls are going up and libations are flowing for the Platinum Jubilee. But no fairground is complete without some thrilling rides. Over the last month, capital markets chipped in with a rollercoaster of their own: equity...
As recession talk subsides, inflation pressures increase
27 May 2022As we head towards the final days of May, markets appear to be calming down. Stock markets are heading for a positive week and credit spreads – the proverbial canary in the coalmine ahead of recessions – have come down sharply....
Talking recession to fight inflation
20 May 2022It has been another rocky ride week for capital markets, with inflation talk increasingly turning into chatter of an ‘inevitable’ recession, prompting the most recent cohort of DIY retail investors to throw in the towel. However,...
Bear market fear as another tech bubble deflates
13 May 2022To some investors it will seem the old investor adage of ‘Sell in May and go away’ has once again proven correct, especially when the US S&P500 fell within touching distance of that bear market threshold of -20% this week....
Market noise is almost deafening
6 May 2022The last week of April was like being on a roller coaster. We had rather hoped that the ride was almost over, but in fact it’s only been getting wilder. ...
Range bound markets – despite the drama
29 April 2022Equity markets have been range-bound through the past few weeks, but it does not feel like it. Volatility is at its highest since the nasty period in March 2020, which always raises our perceptions of potential downside. But the...
Finely balanced
22 April 2022Easter week has been a bit mixed for investors – and this was not caused by fears that populist Marine Le Pen closing the gap to incumbent French president Emmanuel Macron may herald another major political upset in the 2nd...
Easter review and outlook
14 April 2022The annual rate of inflation, as measured by the consumer price index (CPI) was reported at 7% in the UK, 8.5% in the US and even Germany recorded 7.3%. These are heights not seen for 40 years and were unsurprisingly front and...
Q2 begins with QT top of the agenda
8 April 2022Claire Bennison, our esteemed investment colleague and chart guru, has been talking of global equity market consolidation for several weeks. The chart below shows global equity and UK equity total return indices from the onset...